S&P Global Mobility released its study on the impact the tariff war will have on autos. The chance of bad-to-dire consequences is a 70% probability.

S&P Global put the probability of the auto industry experiencing an extended disruption period at 50%. That includes a host of unsavory possibilities, including production interruptions for vehicle models, rising prices, and delays in new product development, with impact for several years to come.

Automotive intelligence firm S&P Global Mobility is predicting that if President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs lead to a trade war, there's a 50 percent chance that the auto industry could enter a long period of disruption.